Here's what we know is going to happen:
-Rain will spread over the area Thursday.
-At times the rain will be heavy. Flash flooding is possible.
-At some point cold air will drop into the area changing the rain to wintry precipitation.
-This should all wrap up sometime Friday night.
Here is what is unclear at this time:
-How soon does the cold air get here?
-How quickly does the air above us cool?
Right now the computer models are just now starting to come together after being all over the place the last few days. And right now they are showing a good amount of snow for us. But these forecasting models have trouble with sleet. And just a couple of hours of sleet mixing in with the snow would greatly reduce the snow amounts.
It looks as though the models are going away from freezing rain, which is good. But the last time I saw the Weather Channel forecast they were forecasting an ice storm here. But overall the rest of the thinking is going away from that.
Here's my thoughts at this time. As long as this stays away from being an ice storm, this will just be a pain in the rear end. You may want to stay home Friday or you may want to head home early. But if you wanted or needed to get out and about it would be very manageable.
By this time tomorrow night we should know what is on its way.
WHAT I CANNOT STRESS ENOUGH IS TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE STORM FOR SUNDAY.
If we get any type of snow and/ice cover we may have big problems on Sunday. Right now a lot of things have to come together so it is a watch and see situation at this time.
More updates tomorrow.
And just to clarify. When I say pain in the rear end, I freely admit that people have trouble driving on wet roads, let alone on snowy roads. So when I say that, it is for the people who actually know how to drive with common sense.
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